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Ukraine's Economy in 1999


CONTENTS

Main economic events in Ukraine:

January 1999 - February 1999

January 1

  • Article 1 of the Decree of the President of Ukraine on amendments in taxation (signed August 7, 1998) comes into force. It specifies that from January 1, 1999 the 5% payroll tax payable to the Chernobyl fund is abolished. This corresponds to measures agreed under the programme supported by the IMF under its EFF facility.

January 6

  • ING Barings Ukraine wins a court case against the State Tax Administration (STA) regarding payments of tax on profits on T-bills held by non-residents. In November, the STA imposed large fines on several banks for non-payment of profit tax on T-bills held by their clients, who are registered in countries, with which Ukraine has signed agreements on the avoidance of double taxation.

January 14

  • The President of Ukraine appoints:

- Volodymyr Kuratchenko as first Vice Prime Minister (earlier head of Zaporizhzhya regional administration);

- Myhaylo Gladii as Vice Prime Minister for agriculture (earlier head of Lviv regional administration).

January 15

  • The Parliament adopts the law on Yavoriv's special economic zone, which is created in Lviv region, for a period ending in 2020. Companies implementing investment projects of no less than 0.5 mn USD are granted significant tax privileges. These include exemption from profit tax for the first five years, a 50% reduction of the rate in subsequent years, and exemption from VAT payments on equipment and land tax for the first three years.

January 18

  • According to a Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers, Kryvorizhstal metal works, the largest Ukrainian metallurgical enterprise, obtains a one-year deferral of its debt payments, payments to the state budget and payments to off-budget funds, with the excepmtion of the Pension Fund and the Social insurance fund. The Ministry of Finance is authorised to grant the plant a one-year deferral of payments on its government-guaranteed foreign credits. The payables of Kryvorizhstal amount to 1.6 bn Hrn. as of December 31, 1999.

January 19

  • The President of Ukraine signs the Decree "On sales of non-agricultural land plots". The documents allows for sales of state- and municipally-owned land plots, on which privatised facilities are located. Land plots can only be sold to Ukrainian legal entities and citizens of Ukraine who own the facilities on which the land plots are located. According to the interim regulations of the Ukrainian Constitution, the decree comes into force in 30 days after it was signed (excluding the parliamentary holidays), provided that the Parliament does not reject it.

 

January 22

  • The IMF approves new quota member-countries. Ukraine's quota is to be raised by 37.5% from SDR 997.3 mn to SDR 1.372 mn. In order to raise their quotas IMF member-countries have to pay within a period of 30 days. The state budget of Ukraine for 1999 stipulates 42.79 mn Hrn. for payments to international financial organisations.

January 25

  • The President of Ukraine signs the Law of Ukraine "On state budget for 1999".

January 26

  • The IMF mission reviewing the progress of implementation of the EFF program, insists that Ukraine has to revive the domestic government securities market, introduce a strict monetary policy and significantly reduce government expenditures. The IMF also insists that Ukraine should raise electricity and gas tariffs for the population and municipal enterprises as well as for public transport, as one of the policy measures agreed under the EFF program.

January 27

  • The President of Ukraine appoints Andriy Honcharuk as Minister of foreign economic relations and trade.

January 28

  • The President of Ukraine appoints Anatoliy Holubchenko as first deputy head of the State Property Fund (earlier first Vice Prime Minister).

January 30

  • According to a Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers, a new off-budget fund is created under the National agency for management of the state corporate rights. The funds raised will be used for financing measures aiming at the "improvement of the management of the state corporate rights".
  • The Cabinet of Ministers adopts a resolution (No. 127/99) ordering an issue of "conversion discount T-bills". The discount bonds will be used to replace T-bills (OVDP) held by Ukrainian banks and maturing in February 1999. The new bonds will proportionally mature on May 5, July 28, August 11 and September 8, 1999, granting its holders a 33% yield p.a. The T-bills falling due in February, thus rescheduled, are reported by Ministry of Finance to total 173 mn Hrn. The overall amount of domestic T-bills held by commercial banks is estimated at about 2.5 bn Hrn.

February 3

  • The Parliament extends mass privatisation in Ukraine till May 1, 1999. Auctions for privatisation certificates will continue to be held until that date.

February 8

  • According to the statement of Viktor Yushchenko, Governor of the NBU, Ukraine may count on the renewal of the EFF program of the IMF and receive a 157-mn USD tranche of the 2.2-bn USD EFF loan by the end of March 1999. Governor Yushchenko held extensive talks with the IMF authorities in Washington on the financial situation and the progress of systemic reforms in the country. The EFF program was suspended in fall 1998, after the first two tranches has been disbursed, because of an insufficient implementation of the memorandum of the economic policy.

February 9

  • Deputy Prime Minister Serhii Tihipko announces the new exchange rate corridor for Hryvnia. According to the statement, the new band is set at 3.4-4.6 Hrn/USD and will be effective for the entire year 1999. The National bank and the Government of Ukraine strongly intend, according to the statement, to design the exchange rate policy in a way that would allow Ukraine to keep its currency within the newly set limits.

February 10

  • The National Bank of Ukraine raises reserve requirements on commercial banks from 15 to 17%, effective from February 21.
  • President Kuchma dismisses Energy Minister Oleksii Sheberstov per Decree.

February 16

  • The Parliaments fails to overrule the Presidential decree on sales of land plots where privatised objects are located. The decree permits purchase and sale of land plots where privatised objects (including objects of unfinished and suspended construction) are located.

February 17

  • The upper house of the Russian Parliament - the Federation Council - ratifies the Russian-Ukrainian treaty on friendship, cooperation and partnership. The treaty will however come into force after the agreement "On the Parameters of Division of the Black Sea Naval Fleet" is ratified by Ukrainian Parliament.

February 19

  • CS First Boston Ukraine and Ministry of Finance reach an agreement about the conversion of T-bills held by the bank and maturing in February.

February 22

  • The Cabinet of Ministers creates a Council of Exporters. According to the Cabinet's resolution, the Council will, among other things, form the legislative environment and supervise export activities of Ukraine enterprises.

February 23

  • In an attempt to increase revenues of the Pension Fund, President Kuchma issues a Decree stipulating that deductions from real estate transactions (1% of the estate value) and mobile communications services (10 Hrn per month for each mobile phone registered) are earmarked as the Fund's revenues.

February 24

  • President Kuchma approves per Decree the State privatisation program for 1999.

February 25

  • National Bank of Ukraine broadens the exchange rate margin for hard currency transaction carried out by banks and exchange kiosks from 5% to 10%.

February 26

  • The Ministry of Finance of Ukraine settles the 160-mn DM (92 mn USD) interest payment on its 1-bn DM 16-% p.a. Eurobond (falling due in February 2001). The amount was withdrawn from the currency reserves of the NBU.

Nominal and real Gross Domestic Product (mn Hrn, current prices)

 
Nominal GDP (Derzhkomstat)
Real GDP (unofficial culculations)
Industrial production (mn Hrn, current wholesale prices, excluding taxes)
Index of real industrial production, seasonally adjusted (official, 1990=100)
1992
50
137.40
58
86.8
1993
1483
100.46
1601
79.4
1994
12038
60.30
12030
51.1
1995
54516
55.94
55889
45.1
1996
81519
52.56
67187
43.1
1997
93365
52.34
67183
42.2
1998
103869
50.47
75219
41.4
Jan-99
8017
3.51
7073
40.9

Sources: Derzhkomstat of Ukraine; unofficial estimates.


Employment (thousand persons) and wage arrears (mn Hrn), end of period

 
Number of employed in industry
Unemployed
Vacancies
Share of unemployed (% of total labour force)
Wage arrears
Pension fund arrears
         
total
of which budget sphere
 
1993
5558
83.9
131.6
0.4
     
1994
5142
82.2
136.6
0.4
     
1995
4713
126.9
86.4
0.6
575
 
72
1996
4339
351.1
35.2
1.6
3739
994
1124
1997
4016
637.1
34.8
2.9
4908
717
1280
1998
3710
1003.2
34.6
4.6
6518
960
1974
Jan-99
 
1035.9
38.2
4.8
6635
940
2206

Sources: Ministry of labour and social policy; unofficial calculations.


Monthly inflation: consumer and wholesale price indices

 
CPI (1990=1)
monthly % change of CPI
monthly % change in services prices
WPI 1990=1 (official)
monthly % change of WPI (official)
1992
31
33.5
 
55
36.6
1993
1696
47.1
 
2622
46.5
1994
16809
14.4
19.9
32365
19.8
1995
80137
9.0
15.8
190579
8.7
1996
144432
2.8
6.5
289798
1.3
1997
167376
0.8
0.6
312171
0.4
1998
185080
1.5
1.0
353413
2.6
Jan-99
212468
1.5
0.3
434723
0.8

Sources: Derzhkomstat of Ukraine.



Living standards

 
Average wage (total, Hrn/month)
Real wage (total, 1990=100)
Payroll (mn current Hrn)
Pensions and other transfer incomes (mn Hrn)
Real monetary income (bn constant 1990 roubles)
Real consumption of households (bn constant 1990 roubles)
1992
0.07
83.6
15
6
77.21
50.17
1993
1.70
36.8
331
247
37.05
26.02
1994
15.32
33.5
3118
1882
32.06
23.94
1995
80.58
36.9
15178
10186
33.07
25.13
1996
137.81
35.0
23257
15507
27.91
19.01
1997
156.20
34.2
25210
21931
30.33
19.76
1998
167.47
33.2
25556
27259
29.80
18.67
Jan-99
162.34
28.0
1571
1584
1.58
1.26

Sources: Derzhkomstat of Ukraine; unofficial calculations.



Government (consolidated) Budget (mn Hrn)

 
Total
Budget balance
% of GDP
 
Revenue
Expenditure
 
Total revenue
Total expenditure
Budget balance
1992
17.0
23.3
-6.3
32.8
45.0
-12.2
1993
568.3
661.0
-92.8
40.0
46.5
-6.5
1994
5313.8
6453.5
-1139.7
49.1
59.7
-10.5
1995
20425.4
24443.0
-4043.3
40.1
48.0
-7.9
1996
30142.0
33759.0
-3617.0
38.6
43.2
-4.6
1997
36889.6
43086.0
-6196.4
42.4
49.6
-7.1
1998
37371.0
39506.4
-2135.4
39.5
41.8
-2.3
Jan-99
2538.8
2086.8
452.0
33.4
27.5
6.0

Sources: Ministry of Finance of Ukraine.

 

Monetary aggregates (mn Hrn, end of period)

 
Currency in circulation
NBU credit to government
Money base
Total credits (incl. credits in foreign currency)
Payables of Ukrainian enterprises registered on their balances
1992
5
17
15
46
19
1993
128
113
282
608
1277
1994
793
1244
1606
3706
6834
1995
2623
4295
3540
8383
30543
1996
4041
5995
4882
11490
73168
1997
6132
7096
7058
14392
102507
1998
7158
13479
8604
22333
137614
Jan-99
6705
       

Sources: National Bank of Ukraine; Derzhkomstat of Ukraine; unofficial estimates.




Foreign trade, balance of payments data (mn USD, current prices)

 
Total
 
Goods
Goods and services
 
Total exports
Total imports
Overall balance
Total exports
Total imports
Overall balance
1994
13894
16469
-2575
16641
18007
-1365
1995
14255
16946
-2702
17090
18280
-1190
1996
15547
19843
-4296
20346
21468
-1122
1997
15418
19623
-4205
20355
21891
-1536
1998 Q1
3215
4275
-1060
4242
4918
-676
1998 Q2
3602
4128
-526
4688
4802
-114
1998 Q3
2980
3750
-770
4037
4358
-321

Sources: National Bank of Ukraine.



Ukraine's privatisation balance, mn Hrn

 
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999 plan
Total 1992-98 mn USD
Total revenues
0.022
2.5
27.1
152.6
371.2
277.0
810.7
800.0
3.414.1
Direct revenues from selling of state property
0.022
2.5
24.7
141.9
362.1
243.2
561.4
 
2.707.3
Other revenues
   
2.4
10.7
9.1
33.8
249.3
 
706.8
Total expenditures
0.005
1.7
25.7
132.6
364.9
276.4
794.3
800.0
3.331.3
State Budget
0.004
0.9
14.8
17.9
45.2
78.2
360.9
675.0
1.143.4
Local budgets
   
0.9
73.3
217.4
125.0
11.3
45.0
1.011.3
Loans for technical modernisation and new working places creation Development of enterprises
 
0.2
2.2
11.0
1.0
0.5
   
19.7
Expenditures for privatisation process
0.001
0.2
1.3
19.2
49.7
27.2
26.3
40.0
234.7
Maintenance of certificate auctions centres network
 
   
   
5.0
13.8
2.9
7.3
 
55.9
Creation and maintenance of joint computer network of state privatisation bodies
 
     
2.6
0.3
0.8
 
7.3
Other expenditures
 
0.4
6.5
6.3
35.2
42.3
264.2
 
801.7
Total privatisation revenues as % of GDP
0.04
0.12
0.24
0.30
0.48
0.32
0.86
0.65
 
Consolidated budget receipts from privatisation as % of GDP
0.01
0.06
0.15
0.18
0.34
0.26
0.50
0.58
 
As % of total expenditures
                 
Payments to consolidated budget
87
53
61
69
72
74
59
90
65
Enterprise post-privatisation assistance
13
12
9
8
0.3
0.2
3
5
2
Expenditures for execution of privatisation process
 
12
5
18
18
11
4
5
9

Source: Unofficial estimates based on data provided by State property fund of Ukraine.