The Lady’s Not for Burning

By Volodymyr Kish

By now, most of you have undoubtedly read more than you might have wanted to about the scandalous conviction of Yulia Tymoshenko by the Ukrainian authorities in a trial that was closer to being farce than any semblance of justice. The whole process and the ludicrous result has been justifiably condemned by almost everybody. Even Putin and the Russians are squirming in embarrassment.

Since then, all the experts and pundits on Ukrainian political affairs have written reams of analysis trying to figure out why President Yanukovych and his minions persisted in proceeding with such a bone-headed strategy, one that practically guarantees that the Ukrainian government will become a pariah to the Europeans and most of the free world.

The general thrust of most commentary is amazement and incredulity - can Yanukovych and the Regionnaires really be that obtuse, that nave about the consequences of their actions? Does Yanukovych really think he can eliminate political opposition without sacrificing his EU ambitions? Is there perhaps a deeper nefarious conspiracy at work here? Is all this maybe just clever manipulation by the gnomes in Moscow to ensnare their former colony again?

What has been missing in all the noise is what I believe to be the most important factor that has governed Yanukovych’s behaviour throughout, and it is the exact same factor that governed his predecessor, former President Yushchenko in his seemingly incomprehensible and suicidal fall from grace, namely the irrational and almost misogynistic desire for revenge at being bested by a woman.

There exists within the Slavic culture a strong historic element of male-centric chauvinism.  Within the last century in particular and throughout the period of Soviet rule, men have claimed and exercised absolute political and economic power throughout Eastern Europe.  Yulia Tymoshenko was an anomaly, a veritable political comet on the scene that succeeded in outmanoeuvring and making her two chief rivals, Yushchenko and Yanukovych, look amateurish and impotent.

Your typical Ukrainian or Russian male does not take kindly to being beaten by an opponent in whatever conflict or competition they engage in.  Nonetheless, there is no special shame in being outdone by another male.  However, to be bested by a mere woman strikes at the existential heart of the Slavic male ego.  To be defeated or shamed by a woman, and a pretty one at that, is insufferable.

Just how insufferable was clearly demonstrated by Yushchenko’s visceral and irrational behaviour of the past few years.  Despite being outwardly a smart, civilized and cultured man, he sacrificed his principles, the goals and values of the Orange Revolution, and the short term future of the whole country, to what appears to be nothing more than a Neanderthal desire to destroy Yulia Tymoshenko for having exposed his limitations and incompetency as President.  Had it not been Yulia but a male antagonist, I doubt whether Viktor would have reacted as badly as he did.  But it was Yulia, and his male ego had been badly bruised, so Viktor sank into a vengeful funk, ruining not only his own historic legacy, but dragging Yulia and the whole country into his personal heart of darkness.

What President Yanukovych has done over the past few months is gone down the same vengeful road as his predecessor.  In the cut throat world of the street thug that was Yanukovych’s training ground, personal honour and reputation was everything.  To be politically emasculated by a woman was an unpardonable sin to his ego that could not be left to stand.  I strongly believe that political calculations played but a minimal role in Yanukovych’s actions against Yulia.  This was a visceral settling of scores at a very emotional and primitive level.

In the end, I also believe that Yanukovych will pay the same price as his predecessor, sinking into historical ignominy because of the inability to rise above personal grudges.  As for Yulia, it is clear that this lady is not for burning, and we have not heard the last from her yet.